BRIEF · DAILY

Good morning, Aishwary.

LIVE
NIFTY 22,612 -0.56%VIX 17.20 +17.20%
Regime · ELEVATED CAUTION · since 09:42
eight-state model
TREND
LOW VOL
RANGE
HIGH IV
ELEVATED
CAUTION
EVENT
WINDOW
PANIC
 
EXPIRY
NSE
EXPIRY
BSE
NEWS
DRIVEN
The Verdict
Caution
Caution.

VIX up 17.2% intraday. SGX Nifty gapped −1.3%. Expiry day, hour-to-expiry sizing in effect. Two of five Simple-Mode price alerts at CAUTION; one approaching BLOCK. Half-sizing recommended through 11:30 IST. Reassess at 11:00.

Verdict by · Regime · Cost · ML Risk · News-Simple · Copilot synthesis · 1.4s
Risk budget · today
Expiry · 0.5% cap
₹4,180/₹11,000
38% spent · 1 closed lossStops protecting ₹6,820
Cap by · regime · expiry · ML risk · 0.5% effective
Event window · next 24h
4 events
  • + 01h 12m
    NSE Nifty weekly expiry
    50% max position · exit by 14:00
    Block
  • + 06h 30m
    RBI Governor speech
    FICCI banking summit · unscheduled remarks possible
    Caution
  • + 22h 00m
    US Fed FOMC minutes
    Wed 23:30 IST · Thursday open gap risk
    Caution
  • + 23h 45m
    HDFC Bank Q4 earnings
    Pre-market · 5.2% Nifty weight
    Watch
Kill switch · all triggers
11 of 12 healthy
Daily loss
0.38%
Slippage
0.08%
VIX
17.2↑
Data feed
OK
Gap risk
0.4σ
Broker API
42ms
Drawdown
−1.8%
ML Brier
0.21
Edge decay
Stable
Margin
68%
Recon
Green
Alerts
0 unack

Open positions · 0 open

Net P&L ₹0
SymbolStratLotsEntryLTPΔΓΘ/dVegaP&LStop